Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Bonita Springs, FL, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Mary Stoiana		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.67
	1.46	2.54	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.43)	2.55 ↓ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mary Stoiana
63.5%

Maria Lourdes Carle
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mary Stoiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-2%)

Mary Stoiana - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Stoiana is ranked WTA: 161. Carle is ranked WTA: 198.

Stoiana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stoiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stoiana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mary Stoiana
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Eva Vedder	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Olga Govortsova	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Elizabeth Mandlik	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Thea Frodin	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Anna Sinclair Rogers	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Annika Penickova - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Martina Capurro Taborda	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Madison Brengle	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Gina Feistel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches