Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vale do Lobo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Massimo Giunta		Francisco Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.5	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	2.34 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Massimo Giunta
60.6%

Francisco Rocha
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Massimo Giunta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Massimo Giunta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Massimo Giunta - Francisco Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giunta is ranked ATP: 579. Rocha is ranked ATP: 797.

In recent matches, Giunta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocha is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Giunta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giunta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Massimo Giunta
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Massimo Giunta - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Massimo Giunta	Canceled ✺
18.02.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Massimo Giunta	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	John Echeverria - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Massimo Giunta - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 L?WWW
- Francisco Rocha
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Ryan Peniston - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Francisco Rocha - Rafael Giotis	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Olle Wallin - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.01.26	Francisco Rocha - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Francisco Rocha - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Massimo Giunta - Francisco Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide