Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Casablanca 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday


	Massimo Giunta		Juan Bautista Otegui

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.64	2.17
			Watch
	1.65	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.51)	2.12 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Massimo Giunta
56.2%

Juan Bautista Otegui
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Massimo Giunta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Massimo Giunta's form might have worsened.

Juan Bautista Otegui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Bautista Otegui's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Massimo Giunta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Bautista Otegui than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Bautista Otegui, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Giunta is ranked ATP: 728. Otegui is ranked ATP: 1105.

Recent performances by Giunta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Otegui is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Giunta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giunta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giunta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Massimo Giunta
ITF Tournaments
22.06.25	Massimo Giunta - Yassine Dlimi	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Mehdi Benchakroun - Massimo Giunta	Benchakroun M. retired ✺
20.06.25	Sean Cuenin - Massimo Giunta	Cuenin S. retired ✺
19.06.25	Hamza Karmoussi - Massimo Giunta	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Othman Bezzaz - Massimo Giunta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 W??WW
- Juan Bautista Otegui
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Lucio Ratti - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Juan Bautista Otegui - Andreas Timini	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Francesco Ferrari - Juan Bautista Otegui	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Juan Bautista Otegui - Georgii Kravchenko	2:1 ✺
03.06.25	Marc Majdandzic - Juan Bautista Otegui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.11.23	Massimo Giunta - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:0

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