Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tanger, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Massimo Giunta		Reda Bennani

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.31	1.59
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.2	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.83)	1.6 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Massimo Giunta
41.8%

Reda Bennani
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Massimo Giunta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Massimo Giunta's form might have worsened.

Reda Bennani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reda Bennani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Massimo Giunta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reda Bennani than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reda Bennani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Giunta is ranked ATP: 640. Bennani is ranked ATP: 1052.

Giunta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bennani is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bennani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bennani might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Bennani will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giunta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Massimo Giunta - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Massimo Giunta
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Massimo Giunta - Leonardo Cattaneo	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Massimo Giunta - Andrea Paolini	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Massimo Giunta - Juan Bautista Otegui	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Massimo Giunta - Yassine Dlimi	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Mehdi Benchakroun - Massimo Giunta	Benchakroun M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLW?
- Reda Bennani
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Reda Bennani - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Reda Bennani - Natan Rodrigues	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Reda Bennani - Damian Wenger	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Reda Bennani - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Alexander Weis - Reda Bennani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.06.24	Reda Bennani - Massimo Giunta	0:2

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