Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Massimo Giunta		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	2.89	1.45
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.9)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Massimo Giunta
33.2%

Tom Gentzsch
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Massimo Giunta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tom Gentzsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Massimo Giunta - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giunta is ranked ATP: 422. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 145.

Recent performances by Giunta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gentzsch is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Giunta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gentzsch is a strong favorite.

We predict that Gentzsch will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Massimo Giunta
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Massimo Giunta - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Massimo Giunta - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Massimo Giunta - Dusan Obradovic	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Franco Agamenone - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Filippo Romano - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Francesco Passaro - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Tom Gentzsch - Andrej Nedic	Canceled ✺
09.08.26	Tom Gentzsch - Jerome Kym	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Tom Gentzsch - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LW?WW

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