Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 17, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Mate Valkusz		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	1.24	3.89
	1.25	3.52	Watch
	1.25	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	3.68 ↑ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mate Valkusz
74.7%

Andrey Chepelev
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mate Valkusz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mate Valkusz's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mate Valkusz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Mate Valkusz - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Valkusz is ranked ATP: 680. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 503.

Valkusz has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chepelev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chepelev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valkusz is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mate Valkusz
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Mate Valkusz - Marko Maksimovic	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Mate Valkusz - George Lazarov	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Mate Valkusz - Astro Pilipovic	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Mirza Basic - Mate Valkusz	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Martin Krumich - Mate Valkusz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Andrea Fiorentini - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Matas Vasiliauskas - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Matthias Ujvary - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Andrey Chepelev - Andrea Fiorentini	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Andrey Chepelev - Ognjen Milic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL

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