Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 17, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Matthias Ujvary		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	3.60	1.24	Watch
	3.46	1.27	Watch
	3.5	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.47)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthias Ujvary
26.2%

Andrey Chepelev
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthias Ujvary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthias Ujvary than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-1%)

Matthias Ujvary - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ujvary is ranked ATP: 1166. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 503.

Ujvary has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chepelev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ujvary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chepelev is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthias Ujvary
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Matthias Ujvary - Ognjen Milic	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Denis Klok - Matthias Ujvary	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Noah Thurner - Matthias Ujvary	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Matthias Ujvary - Glib Sekachov	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Matthias Ujvary - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Andrey Chepelev - Andrea Fiorentini	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Andrey Chepelev - Ognjen Milic	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Andrey Chepelev - Fermin Tenti	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Andrey Chepelev - Marko Miladinovic	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Andrey Chepelev - Simeon Stankovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

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