Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 KOTTINGBRUNN (AUSTRIA), CLAY

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday


	Matej Dodig		Gerald Melzer

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.97	1.75
	2.01	1.75
	2	1.73
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.97	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.46)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
46.9%

Gerald Melzer
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matej Dodig's performance.

Gerald Melzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gerald Melzer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerald Melzer than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gerald Melzer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Matej Dodig - Gerald Melzer Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Melzer will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

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Preview

Dodig is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Melzer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melzer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ITF Tournaments
16.08.23	Maks Meh - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.08.23	Sebastian Gima - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Nikola Basic - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
06.08.23	Stefan Popovic - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Matej Dodig - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW
- Gerald Melzer
ITF Tournaments
16.08.23	Tomas Lanik - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.06.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Gerald Melzer	2:0 ✺
27.06.23	Gerald Melzer - Jose-Rubin Statham	2:1 ✺
22.06.23	Gerald Melzer - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
21.06.23	Gerald Melzer - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

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