Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasov (Romania), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Zdrentu V. (Rou)


	Matej Dodig		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.56	2.29	Watch
	1.64	2.31
	1.56	2.34
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.43	Watch
	1.54	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.86)	2.3 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
59.3%

Jelle Sels
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matej Dodig's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Matej Dodig - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: Matej Dodig will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Dodig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sels is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dodig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dodig will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dodig won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Matej Dodig - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Matej Dodig - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
13.06.24	Matej Dodig - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
11.06.24	Radu Albot - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
01.07.24	Jelle Sels - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
30.06.24	Jelle Sels - Ilya Snitari	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.06.24	Jelle Sels - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
27.06.24	Jelle Sels - Raphael Perot	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Jelle Sels - John Sperle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.11.23	Jelle Sels - Matej Dodig	2:0

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