Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Matej Dodig		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	2.17	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.58	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	1.85	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.88)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
44.5%

Dmitry Popko
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dmitry Popko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matej Dodig - Dmitry Popko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 342. Popko is ranked ATP: 163.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Popko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dodig won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Dmitry Popko - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Daniel Rincon - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Matej Dodig - Tadeas Paroulek	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Matej Dodig - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Dmitry Popko - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Corentin Denolly - Dmitry Popko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.06.24	Matej Dodig - Dmitry Popko	0:2
07.06.24	Matej Dodig - Dmitry Popko	2:1

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