The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mateus Alves 60.7%
Alvaro Guillen Meza 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mateus Alves's performance.
Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvaro Guillen Meza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvaro Guillen Meza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
0%
30%
Mateus Alves - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alves: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Alves is ranked ATP: 271.Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 274.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Alves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Alves will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Alves won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1