Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAO LEOPOLDO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Mateus Alves		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.2	1.32
	3.35	1.33
	3.35	1.33
	3.25	1.33
	3.31	1.31	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.65)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
28.9%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mateus Alves - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
25.03.24	Renzo Olivo - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.24	Mateus Alves - Daniel Dutra da Silva	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Mateus Alves - Quentin Folliot	Folliot Q. retired ✺
22.03.24	Mateus Alves - Harrison Adams	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Mateus Alves - Paul Valsecchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WL?WW
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Kaichi Uchida - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.24	Thiago Monteiro - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

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