Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg (Germany) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Referee: Wusterhausen F. (Ger)


	Mateus Alves		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	1.95	1.75
	2.02	1.75
	2.03	1.76
	1.8	1.91
	1.92	1.82	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.8)	1.79 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
48.1%

Gianmarco Ferrari
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gianmarco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianmarco Ferrari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mateus Alves - Gianmarco Ferrari Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ferrari will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrari: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ferrari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferrari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Alves M. retired ✺
30.04.24	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Mateus Alves - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Meligeni Alves F. walkover ✺
25.03.24	Renzo Olivo - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.24	Mateus Alves - Daniel Dutra da Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?W?WL
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
10.05.24	Gianmarco Ferrari - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
09.05.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Raphael Calzi - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Gianmarco Ferrari - Juan Bautista Otegui	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLW

Mateus Alves - Gianmarco Ferrari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide