Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cuiaba, clay - Final

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Mateus Alves		Igor Marcondes

	1	2
			Watch
	2.41	1.49	Watch
	1.6	2.22	Watch
	1.59	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.57)	1.98 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
51.5%

Igor Marcondes
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.

Igor Marcondes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igor Marcondes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Igor Marcondes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mateus Alves - Igor Marcondes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 507. Marcondes is ranked ATP: 716.

Alves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marcondes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alves might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Mateus Alves - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Juan Estevez - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Valentino Grippo - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Mateus Alves - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL
- Igor Marcondes
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Igor Marcondes - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Igor Marcondes	Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. retired ✺
11.09.25	Igor Marcondes - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Igor Marcondes - Samuel Heredia	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Franco Roncadelli - Igor Marcondes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.01.22	Mateus Alves - Igor Marcondes	0:2
ITF Tournaments
07.04.21	Mateus Alves - Igor Marcondes	2:0

Mateus Alves - Igor Marcondes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide