Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Curitiba, clay - FinalDate: 27 September 2026, Sunday
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Mateus Alves |
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Pedro Sakamoto |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.33 |
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3.00 |
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 |
1.38 |
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2.80 |
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 |
1.35 |
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2.91 |
Watch |
 |
1.33 |
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2.95 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.48) |
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2.92 ↑ (2.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mateus Alves 68.4% | Pedro Sakamoto 31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mateus Alves's performance.Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Mateus Alves - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Alves is ranked ATP: 420., and Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 506..Alves arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).Sakamoto is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins). Alves carries the favorite tag into this contest.Our forecast points to a victory for Alves in today's match, at odds of 1.34.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alves has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Pedro Sakamoto - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.72%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 13.09.26 | Mateus Alves - Pedro Sakamoto | 2:0 | | ATP Challenger | | | 17.09.23 | Mateus Alves - Pedro Sakamoto | 0:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;