Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Curitiba, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.80	1.36
	3.15	1.30
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.42)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
31.3%

Pedro Sakamoto
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin's form might have worsened.

Pedro Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Goncalves Ceolin is ranked ATP: 1090., and Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 506..

Goncalves Ceolin has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Sakamoto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Goncalves Ceolin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Sakamoto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Sakamoto - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.21%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Eric Martins	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Lucca Pinto	Canceled
17.09.26	Nicolas Zanellato - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Ryan Dickerson - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?LWW
- Pedro Sakamoto
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Pedro Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Thomas Menzel - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mateus Alves - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWWL

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide