Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Parada L. (Bra)


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.76
	2.1	1.77
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.09	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.83)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
45.3%

Gianluca Mager
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mager will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pucinelli De Almeida: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Pucinelli De Almeida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Liam Draxl - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
27.03.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
01.04.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Gianluca Mager - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Gianluca Mager - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Gianluca Mager - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide