Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lajeado, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.15	4.60	Watch
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	3.68 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
74.2%

Pedro Sakamoto
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's performance.

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 310. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 422.

Pucinelli De Almeida is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakamoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pucinelli De Almeida is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Laelson Rodrigues	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Pedro Sakamoto
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Nicolas Bruna - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Pedro Dietrich - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Gustavo Heide - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Marcelo Zormann - Pedro Sakamoto	Zormann Da Silva M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.03.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2
12.11.23	Pedro Sakamoto - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide