Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TRIESTE (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 July 2023, Monday


	Mathias Bourgue		Adrian Andreev

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.15	1.68
	2.23	1.68
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.43	1.51	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.85)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
41.9%

Adrian Andreev
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathias Bourgue's form might have worsened.

Adrian Andreev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adrian Andreev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathias Bourgue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adrian Andreev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mathias Bourgue - Adrian Andreev Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bourgue will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Andreev will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bourgue: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bourgue is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Andreev is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Andreev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
26.06.23	Mathias Bourgue - Julian Ocleppo	0:2 ✺
25.06.23	Mathias Bourgue - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Mathias Bourgue - Renzo Olivo	0:2 ✺
16.06.23	Mathias Bourgue - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
15.06.23	Maxime Janvier - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Adrian Andreev - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Adrian Andreev - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Michael Mmoh - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Adrian Andreev - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
30.05.23	Henri Squire - Adrian Andreev	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLL?

Mathias Bourgue - Adrian Andreev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide