Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: COMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday


	Mathias Bourgue		Duje Ajdukovic

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.06	1.79
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.91	1.82	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.46)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
45.8%

Duje Ajdukovic
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathias Bourgue's performance.

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duje Ajdukovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathias Bourgue that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duje Ajdukovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mathias Bourgue - Duje Ajdukovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ajdukovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
29.08.23	Mathias Bourgue - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Mathias Bourgue - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Henri Laaksonen - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Mathias Bourgue - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
28.07.23	Francesco Passaro - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW
- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Javier Barranco Cosano - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLWW

Mathias Bourgue - Duje Ajdukovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide