Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez (France) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Referee: Wesly V. (Fra)


	Mathias Bourgue		Mae Malige

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.67
	1.43	2.71	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.73	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.32)	2.72 ↓ (3.26)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
65.7%

Mae Malige
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathias Bourgue's form might have worsened.

Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mae Malige's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathias Bourgue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mae Malige, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mathias Bourgue - Mae Malige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bourgue is ranked ATP: 375. Malige is ranked ATP: 692.

Two players are playing changeable.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bourgue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Mathias Bourgue - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.08.24	Mathias Bourgue - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
22.08.24	Mathias Bourgue - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Mathias Bourgue - Andrea Paolini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW
- Mae Malige
ITF Tournaments
11.09.24	Marat Sharipov - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.24	Mae Malige - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
18.07.24	Mae Malige - Umberto Giovannini	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Mae Malige - Timeo Trufelli	Malige M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
20.05.24	Mae Malige - Mathias Bourgue	1:2

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