Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday


	Mathias Bourgue		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
	1.28	3.25
	1.28	3.25
	1.28	3.53
	1.28	3.33	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.31	Watch
	1.28	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	3.33 ↑ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
72.2%

Matthew Dellavedova
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Mathias Bourgue - Matthew Dellavedova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bourgue is ranked ATP: 357. Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 388.

Two players are playing changeable.

Dellavedova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bourgue is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Mathias Bourgue - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Mathias Bourgue - Andrea Paolini	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Mathias Bourgue - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Mathias Bourgue - Josip Simundza	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLWL
- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Noah Perfetti - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Rocco Piatti - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
12.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

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