Match Info

Date: 16 April 2021, Friday


	Mathias Bourgue		Mirza Basic

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	1.88	1.79
	1.95	1.87
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.8)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
48.3%

Mirza Basic
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.7%	0%	55.3%

Mathias Bourgue - Mirza Basic Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Bourgue will win (votes: 17 - 44.7%). Basic will win (votes: 21 - 55.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basic: 39.5% – 71.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Basic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
14.04.21	Mathias Bourgue - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
12.04.21	Mohamed Safwat - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
22.03.21	Mathias Bourgue - Dustin Brown	1:2 ✺
19.03.21	Benjamin Bonzi - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
17.03.21	Bernard Tomic - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLW
- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
15.04.21	Mirza Basic - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
13.04.21	Mirza Basic - Denis Istomin	2:0 ✺
12.04.21	Andrea Collarini - Mirza Basic	1:2 ✺
11.04.21	Mirza Basic - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
09.04.21	Blaz Rola - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Mathias Bourgue - Mirza Basic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide