Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 10, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Heraklion 10 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mathieu Scaglia		Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg

	1	2
	2.88	1.38
	4.11	1.18	Watch
	2.85	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (1.83)	1.31 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathieu Scaglia
28.6%

Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
71.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathieu Scaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathieu Scaglia's form might have worsened.

Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathieu Scaglia than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathieu Scaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mathieu Scaglia - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Scaglia is ranked ATP: 1201. Von Der Schulenburg is ranked ATP: 830.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Scaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathieu Scaglia
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Vladimir Holban - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Matisse Bobichon	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Nikola Slavic	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Maxence Beauge - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWW
- Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Reece Falck - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Oskari Paldanius - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Sergi Fita Juan - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Nikola Djukic - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW

Mathieu Scaglia - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Mathieu Scaglia - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg Predictions

Preview

Form

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