Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 34, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Mathieu Scaglia		Nikola Slavic

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.06	1.7
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathieu Scaglia
43.5%

Nikola Slavic
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathieu Scaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nikola Slavic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathieu Scaglia than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikola Slavic than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mathieu Scaglia - Nikola Slavic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Scaglia is ranked ATP: 1155. Slavic is ranked ATP: 918.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Slavic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Slavic will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathieu Scaglia
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Maxence Beauge - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	Ghazouani Durand Y. retired ✺
26.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Jim Hendrikx	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 W?WLW
- Nikola Slavic
ITF Tournaments
24.08.25	Nikola Slavic - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Filip Gustafsson - Nikola Slavic	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Nikola Slavic - Max Dahlin	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Adam Heinonen - Nikola Slavic	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Nikola Slavic - Jack Karlsson Wistrand	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

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