Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 11, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Mathieu Scaglia		Stefan Adrian Andreescu

	1	2
	2.37	1.53
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.56	1.46	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathieu Scaglia
37.2%

Stefan Adrian Andreescu
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathieu Scaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Stefan Adrian Andreescu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathieu Scaglia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathieu Scaglia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Adrian Andreescu than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefan Adrian Andreescu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mathieu Scaglia - Stefan Adrian Andreescu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Scaglia is ranked ATP: 1201. Andreescu is ranked ATP: 558.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Andreescu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefan Adrian Andreescu - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.85%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathieu Scaglia
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Jeffrey Fradkin	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Vladimir Holban - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Matisse Bobichon	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Mathieu Scaglia - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- Stefan Adrian Andreescu
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Rihards Neimanis - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Michel Hopp - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Makoto Ochi - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Giannicola Misasi - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Mathieu Scaglia - Stefan Adrian Andreescu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide