Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ZADAR (CROATIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday


	Mathys Erhard		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.68	2.13
	1.69	2.13
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.06	Watch
	1.71	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
55.2%

Andrea Picchione
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathys Erhard's performance.

Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Picchione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Picchione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Picchione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Mathys Erhard - Luca Giacomini	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Mathys Erhard - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Mathys Erhard - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.02.24	Lucas Gerch - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Nick Hardt - Mathys Erhard	Erhard M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWL?
- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Yanaki Milev - Andrea Picchione	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Andrea Picchione - Kyle Edmund	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.02.24	Andrea Picchione - Mirza Basic	Picchione A. retired ✺
13.02.24	Andrea Picchione - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WL?LL

Mathys Erhard - Andrea Picchione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide