Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Mathys Erhard		Andrey Chepelev

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Mathys Erhard
51.2%

Andrey Chepelev
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Erhard is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chepelev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chepelev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
06.03.22	Raphael Collignon - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Mathys Erhard - Mathieu Scaglia	2:0 ✺
04.03.22	Mathys Erhard - Omar Giacalone	2:0 ✺
03.03.22	Shinji Hazawa - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
02.03.22	Mathys Erhard - Michael Zhu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
05.03.22	Lukas Neumayer - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
04.03.22	Mert Naci Turker - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
03.03.22	Nacho Serra Sanchez - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
24.02.22	Daniel Michalski - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
17.02.22	Ergi Kirkin - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWWLL

Mathys Erhard - Andrey Chepelev