Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Mathys Erhard		Goncalo Oliveira

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.45	1.49
	2.29	1.6
	2.25	1.57
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.34	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.61)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
39.9%

Goncalo Oliveira
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Goncalo Oliveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goncalo Oliveira than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goncalo Oliveira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Erhard is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveira in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Oliveira will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Oliveira to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
05.04.23	Mathys Erhard - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
04.04.23	Mathys Erhard - Alberto Morolli	2:0 ✺
29.03.23	Jiri Barnat - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.03.23	Mathys Erhard - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Mathys Erhard - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL
- Goncalo Oliveira
ITF Tournaments
05.04.23	Andrea Picchione - Goncalo Oliveira	1:2 ✺
04.04.23	Gian Matias Di Natale - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
24.03.23	Harry Wendelken - Goncalo Oliveira	Oliveira G. retired ✺
23.03.23	Christian Sigsgaard - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
22.03.23	Daniel Little - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WW?WW

Mathys Erhard - Goncalo Oliveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide