Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Mathys Erhard		Frederico Ferreira Silva

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.76
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.93)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
44.6%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Frederico Ferreira Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mathys Erhard - Frederico Ferreira Silva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 379. Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 232.

Recent performances by Erhard have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferreira Silva has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Erhard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Norbert Gombos - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Rudolf Molleker - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Martin Krumich - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Faris Zakaryia - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Martin Krumich - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.03.23	Mathys Erhard - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2

Mathys Erhard - Frederico Ferreira Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide