Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 The Hague (Netherlands), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Mathys Erhard		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.92	1.75
	1.87	1.89
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.23)	1.78 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
48.1%

Max Houkes
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathys Erhard's performance.

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Houkes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Houkes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Mathys Erhard - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Houkes will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Erhard is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Houkes is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Erhard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Houkes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Houkes to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Erhard won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
11.07.24	Mathys Erhard - Marlon Vankan	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Mathys Erhard - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.07.24	Timofey Skatov - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Maxence Rivet - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
24.06.24	Mathys Erhard - Gabriel Debru	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL
- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
11.07.24	Abel Forger - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
10.07.24	Timo Legout - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Max Houkes - John Sperle	Sperle J. retired ✺
06.07.24	Max Houkes - Simon Beaupain	2:0 ✺
05.07.24	Max Houkes - Stijn Pel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.05.22	Max Houkes - Mathys Erhard	0:2
12.05.22	Max Houkes - Mathys Erhard	1:2

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