Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Melilla, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Matias Reyniak		Carles Rojas

	1	2
	1.40	2.65
	1.38	2.75
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.49	2.5
	1.39	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)	2.64 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Reyniak
65%

Carles Rojas
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Reyniak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matias Reyniak's performance.

Carles Rojas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carles Rojas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Reyniak than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Reyniak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carles Rojas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carles Rojas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matias Reyniak - Carles Rojas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reyniak is ranked ATP: 1245. Rojas is ranked ATP: 2259.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Reyniak will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Reyniak
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Matias Reyniak - Alberto Garcia Garcia	2:1 ✺
Boys Singles US Open
06.09.26	Matias Reyniak - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2
ITF Tournaments
20.08.26	Matias Reyniak - Andrea Colombo	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Matias Reyniak	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Matias Reyniak - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL
- Carles Rojas
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Carles Rojas - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Carles Rojas - Sander Jong	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Carles Rojas - Giannicola Misasi	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Nicolas Robert - Carles Rojas	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Carles Rojas - Matei Sucu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLLW

Matias Reyniak - Carles Rojas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide