Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Matias Soto		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.45	1.26	Watch
	3.79	1.27
	3.51	1.28	Watch
			Watch
	3.54	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.89)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
26.8%

Hugo Grenier
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Grenier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 250. Grenier is ranked ATP: 192.

Soto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grenier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Soto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Grenier is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Grenier - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.21%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Matias Soto	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
22.07.25	Matias Soto - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Johannus Monday - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Matias Soto - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Matias Soto - Radu Albot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?LLWL
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Pedro Araujo - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	George Loffhagen - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Hugo Grenier - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Hugo Grenier - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide