Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Matias Soto		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.55
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.46)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
38%

Matteo Martineau
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matias Soto - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Matteo Martineau will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 271. Martineau is ranked ATP: 292.

Soto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Martineau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Martineau might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Matias Soto - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Matias Soto - Radu Albot	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Matias Soto - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.05.25	Matias Soto - Thiago Cigarran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Kenny De Schepper - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Matteo Martineau - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Clement Lemire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW

Matias Soto - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide