Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sao Paulo 2 (Brazil), clay - Final

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Matias Soto		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.65	2.07
	1.68	2.13
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.59	2.24	Watch
	1.65	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.99)	2.15 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
56.9%

Mathys Erhard
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matias Soto's performance.

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mathys Erhard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Soto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matias Soto - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 296. Erhard is ranked ATP: 318.

Soto in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Erhard is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Soto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Erhard to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
15.11.24	Matias Soto - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Matias Soto - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
13.11.24	Matias Soto - Lautaro Agustin Falabella	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Eduardo Ribeiro - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Mathys Erhard - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
15.11.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Nikos Lehmann - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Wilson Leite - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Mathys Erhard - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL

Matias Soto - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide