Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Matilde Jorge		Anastasia Gasanova

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.40
	2.80	1.41
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	3.15	1.36
	2.68	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.65)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matilde Jorge
33.8%

Anastasia Gasanova
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Anastasia Gasanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Gasanova than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 300. Gasanova is ranked WTA: 192.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Gasanova could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Gasanova will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jorge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
13.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Katie Swan	Swan K. Retired ✺
10.09.26	Greetje Minnen - Matilde Jorge	Minnen G. Retired ✺
08.09.26	Margaux Rouvroy - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WW??W
- Anastasia Gasanova
ITF Tournaments
13.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Anastasia Gasanova - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Iveta Dapkute - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	2:0
03.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2

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