Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Evora, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Sofia Johnson		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.20
	1.50	2.38
	1.59	2.35
	1.56	2.22	Watch
	1.64	2.18
	1.54	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)	2.27 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Johnson
59.1%

Matilde Jorge
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Johnson than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofia Johnson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matilde Jorge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sofia Johnson - Matilde Jorge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Johnson is ranked WTA: 459. Jorge is ranked WTA: 300.

Johnson is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jorge has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jorge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Johnson
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Kayla Cross - Sofia Johnson	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Oceane Dodin - Sofia Johnson	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Anastasia Gasanova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWLW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Katie Swan	Swan K. Retired ✺
10.09.26	Greetje Minnen - Matilde Jorge	Minnen G. Retired ✺
08.09.26	Margaux Rouvroy - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Valentina Ivanov - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ??WLW

Sofia Johnson - Matilde Jorge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide