Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Lucia Bronzetti		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.58	2.51
	1.56	2.36	Watch
	1.56	2.45
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	2.36 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Bronzetti
60.1%

Nuria Brancaccio
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nuria Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucia Bronzetti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuria Brancaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucia Bronzetti - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 139. Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 209.

Bronzetti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brancaccio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bronzetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bronzetti could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bronzetti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Lucia Bronzetti - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.08%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Bronzetti
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Teodora Kostovic - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Georgina Garcia Perez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Eva Vedder	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Zhibek Kulambayeva	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2
11.03.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2
ITF Tournaments
06.07.21	Nuria Brancaccio - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2

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