Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Vigo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Matilde Jorge		Sonja Zhiyenbayeva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.75	1.95
	1.74	2.12
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.70	2.11
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)	2.06 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matilde Jorge
54.8%

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matilde Jorge's form might have worsened.

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sonja Zhiyenbayeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matilde Jorge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonja Zhiyenbayeva than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 272. Zhiyenbayeva is ranked WTA: 450.

Jorge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhiyenbayeva is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jorge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jorge might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Sofia Costoulas - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Isis Louise Van den Broek - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Maria Berlanga Bandera - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Mina Hodzic - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Carmen Gallardo Guevara - Matilde Jorge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLL
- Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Daria Khomutsianskaya	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Ekaterina Yashina	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Julie Struplova - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Isabella Shinikova - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Jorge
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Lisa Zaar - Matilde Jorge	✺

Matilde Jorge - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide