Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy), clay - Final

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Matilde Paoletti		Irina Maria Bara

	1	2
	1.44	2.55
	1.44	2.55
	1.43	2.75
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.83)	2.58 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matilde Paoletti
64%

Irina Maria Bara
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matilde Paoletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matilde Paoletti's performance.

Irina Maria Bara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Irina Maria Bara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Paoletti than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matilde Paoletti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irina Maria Bara than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Irina Maria Bara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matilde Paoletti - Irina Maria Bara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paoletti is ranked WTA: 837. Bara is ranked WTA: 243.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Paoletti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Paoletti
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Matilde Paoletti - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Matilde Paoletti - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Alice Tubello - Matilde Paoletti	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Matilde Paoletti - Sara Cakarevic	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Matilde Paoletti - Tereza Valentova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLW
- Irina Maria Bara
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Sada Nahimana - Irina Maria Bara	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Tina Nadine Smith - Irina Maria Bara	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Laura Hietaranta - Irina Maria Bara	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Polina Krumkachev - Irina Maria Bara	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Irina Maria Bara - Patricia Maria Tig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

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