Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manzanillo (Mexico), hard - Final

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Mats Rosenkranz		Goncalo Oliveira

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.15	1.75
	2.14	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.57)	1.71 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mats Rosenkranz
45.1%

Goncalo Oliveira
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mats Rosenkranz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mats Rosenkranz's performance.

Goncalo Oliveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goncalo Oliveira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mats Rosenkranz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goncalo Oliveira than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goncalo Oliveira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mats Rosenkranz - Goncalo Oliveira Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rosenkranz will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Oliveira will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oliveira: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 482. Oliveira is ranked ATP: 257.

Now both players are in good shape.

Rosenkranz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oliveira will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Oliveira to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
30.11.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
29.11.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Alfredo Perez - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
22.11.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL
- Goncalo Oliveira
ATP Challenger
30.11.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
29.11.24	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Felix Corwin - Goncalo Oliveira	1:2 ✺
25.11.24	Bor Artnak - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

Mats Rosenkranz - Goncalo Oliveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide