Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Poitiers, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 5 March 2026, Thursday
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Matt Ponchet |
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Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.56 |
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2.46 |
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1.83 |
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1.83 |
Watch |
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1.5 |
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2.38 |
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1.48 |
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2.47 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↑ (1.54) |
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2.29 ↓ (2.4) |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Matt Ponchet 58.9% | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka 41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matt Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matt Ponchet than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Matt Ponchet - Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Ponchet is ranked ATP: 828. Livet Novkirichka is ranked ATP: 1353.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Ponchet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Ponchet will hold a modest advantage in this match. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;