Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Nikola Milojevic

	1	2
	1.72	2
	1.7	2.05
	1.57	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.79)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
56.2%

Nikola Milojevic
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Nikola Milojevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikola Milojevic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikola Milojevic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matteo Arnaldi - Nikola Milojevic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Milojevic has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
23.04.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
22.04.22	Duje Ajdukovic - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
19.04.22	Michael Geerts - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
18.04.22	Daniel Michalski - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- Nikola Milojevic
ATP Challenger
19.04.22	Antoine Hoang - Nikola Milojevic	2:1 ✺
11.04.22	Altug Celikbilek - Nikola Milojevic	2:0 ✺
29.03.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikola Milojevic	2:0 ✺
22.03.22	Eduard Esteve Lobato - Nikola Milojevic	2:1 ✺
15.03.22	Nikola Milojevic - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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