Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Matteo Covato		Enzo Camargo Lima

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.66
	1.43	2.61
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.32)	2.64 ↓ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Covato
64.8%

Enzo Camargo Lima
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.

Enzo Camargo Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Enzo Camargo Lima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Enzo Camargo Lima than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Matteo Covato - Enzo Camargo Lima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Covato is ranked ATP: 699. Camargo Lima is ranked ATP: 1203.

Covato has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Camargo Lima has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Covato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Covato
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Andrew Fenty - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Tibo Colson - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Antonio Luis Avila - Matteo Covato	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Matteo Covato - Christopher Li	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Matteo Covato - Camilo Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLW
- Enzo Camargo Lima
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Enzo Camargo Lima	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Boris Arias - Enzo Camargo Lima	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Noah Schachter - Enzo Camargo Lima	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Thiago Cigarran - Enzo Camargo Lima	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Enzo Camargo Lima - Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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