Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Matteo Covato |
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Natan Rodrigues |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Matteo Covato 27.8% | Natan Rodrigues 72.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.Natan Rodrigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Natan Rodrigues's recent form is better than expected.Matteo Covato - Natan Rodrigues Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- H/A, 1st Set - Rodrigues (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodrigues (votes: 1 - 100%). 
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Preview
Covato is ranked ATP: 736. Rodrigues is ranked ATP: 1018.Rodrigues has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Covato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;