Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cochabamba, clay - Final

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Matteo Covato		Samuel Heredia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.71	1.38	Watch
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.09)	1.39 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Covato
33.8%

Samuel Heredia
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.

Samuel Heredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samuel Heredia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Covato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samuel Heredia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matteo Covato - Samuel Heredia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Covato is ranked ATP: 996. Heredia is ranked ATP: 892.

Covato is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Heredia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Covato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Heredia will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Covato
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Daniel Salazar - Matteo Covato	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Matteo Covato	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Gray Voelzke - Matteo Covato	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Matteo Covato - Ricardo Rodriguez Pace	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Gray Voelzke - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWL
- Samuel Heredia
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Tomas Farjat - Samuel Heredia	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Samuel Heredia - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Samuel Heredia - Ignacio De Armas	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Samuel Heredia - Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias - Samuel Heredia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWW

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