Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cochabamba, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios		Matteo Covato

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.34	2.88	Watch
	1.34	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)	2.86 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
67.7%

Matteo Covato
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Matteo Covato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Linde Palacios is ranked ATP: 760. Covato is ranked ATP: 996.

Linde Palacios is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Covato has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Linde Palacios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Linde Palacios could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Alex Santino Nunez Vera	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Nicolas Hurtado Novoa - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Mateo Del Pino	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Nicolas Hurtado Novoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW
- Matteo Covato
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Gray Voelzke - Matteo Covato	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Matteo Covato - Ricardo Rodriguez Pace	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Gray Voelzke - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Matteo Covato - Keenan Mayo	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Matteo Covato - Dillon Beckles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

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