Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 3 (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Matteo Gigante		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.42
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.54	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)	2.29 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
59.2%

Dennis Novak
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Gigante's performance.

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dennis Novak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Gigante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dennis Novak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matteo Gigante - Dennis Novak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gigante in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Novak is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gigante will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gigante to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
25.02.24	Stefano Travaglia - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Matteo Gigante - Salvatore Caruso	2:1 ✺
21.02.24	Matteo Gigante - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Matteo Gigante - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
22.02.24	Jules Marie - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Alexis Galarneau - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	Jurij Rodionov - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
18.01.24	Dennis Novak - Seong Chan Hong	Novak D. retired ✺
16.01.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWL?W

Matteo Gigante - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide