Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Matteo Gigante		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.61	2.41
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.64)	2.33 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
59.9%

Luka Pavlovic
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Matteo Gigante - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gigante will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gigante is ranked ATP: 137. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 194.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Pavlovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gigante could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Gigante - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.9%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Kalin Ivanovski	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Chris Rodesch - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Terence Atmane - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Luka Pavlovic - Federico Agustin Gomez	Gomez F. A. retired ✺
15.07.25	Luka Pavlovic - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Luka Pavlovic - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 ?WLWL

Matteo Gigante - Luka Pavlovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide