Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Matteo Gigante		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
			Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.71
	2.15	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.08	1.7	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.37)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
44.2%

Mitchell Krueger
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Gigante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitchell Krueger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Matteo Gigante - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gigante will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Krueger will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gigante is ranked ATP: 201. Krueger is ranked ATP: 138.

Recent matches Gigante is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krueger is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krueger will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gigante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Matteo Gigante - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Matteo Gigante - Rohan Murali	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Matteo Gigante - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Lucas Poullain - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Matteo Gigante - Raphael Collignon	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLL?
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Mitchell Krueger - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Mitchell Krueger - Andres Andrade	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
08.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
01.02.25	Brandon Holt - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Corentin Moutet - Mitchell Krueger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Matteo Gigante - Mitchell Krueger	2:1

Matteo Gigante - Mitchell Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide